Year: 2025

  • WH economic advisor Hassett: There is plenty of room to cut rates

    Summary of the comments from WH Economic Advisor Kevin Hassett:NEC Director Kevin Hassett said there is plenty of room to cut interest rates, arguing that US rates are out of touch with the rest of the world, even as he described the underlying jobs trajectory as solid, noting recent data were distorted by the government shutdown. He said President Trump believes rates could be lower, but emphasized that any Fed action requires consensus built on facts and data. Hassett said deficit reduction is critical to lowering rates and expressed confidence the economy can return to 3% growth with 1% inflation, citing a productivity boom, particularly from AI-driven gains that are boosting worker productivity and wages. He was bullish on the labor market into 2026, argued that sustainable growth requires supply-side expansion north of 4%, and rejected the idea that the US is falling behind China, pointing to leadership in semiconductors, deregulation plans, and rapid progress in energy generation. On trade, Hassett said the administration is confident the Supreme Court will rule in its favor on tariffs, but noted Sections 232 and 301 remain available as backstops if needed. He also said Trump will announce a Fed chair nominee soon and expressed confidence there will never be another government shutdown.

    Headlines from the White House economic advisor Kevin Hassett’s interview on CNBC:

    • There is plenty of room to cut rates
    • US rates are out of touch with the rest of the world
    • on the jobs data sees a solid upward trajectory.
    • Trump thinks interest rates could be lower.
    • If I were there, I’d have to negotiate with the rest of the committee.
    • Fed would have to see what kind of consensus could be reached.
    • Thinks we can reach 3% growth and 1% inflation again
    • Deficit reduction is a key to the economy to lower rates.
    • We are pretty positive that the Supreme Court will rule in our favor, and if not we have backup plans.
    • We have deals 232s and 301s to use as a backstop for tariffs if the Supreme Court rules against the tariffs.
    • If Trump has a good reason, and I agree with it, I will present it to the others at the Fed
    • Need consensus based on facts, data.
    • On jobs data, he is bullish on 2026
    • The jobs data was colored by the governement shutdown.
    • ON GDP growth, looking at supply side, need to have north of 4%
    • On jobs, AI, seeing AI-trained workers have increased their productivity and wages.
    • Does not think we are falling behind China.
    • We have the best chips, plan to deregulate.
    • We’re catching up fast on energy generation.
    • Trump will announce the Fed chair nominee soon
    • Productivity boom is coloring all the data.
    • He is confident there will never be another shutdown.

    Earlier today, the latest US jobs and retail sales data painted a mixed picture of the economy, shaped in part by distortions from the recent government shutdown. Nonfarm payrolls showed a decline in October followed by a rebound in November, making it difficult to gauge the true trend in hiring, while the unemployment rate moved up to 4.6% from 4.4% which could be a worry but keep the Fed on the downside tilt.

    On the consumer side, October retail sales were flat at the headline level, but the control group rose a solid 0.8%, pointing to firmer underlying demand that feeds directly into GDP. Together, the reports suggest moderating but still resilient economic momentum, leaving markets data-dependent and keeping the focus on whether growth can remain supported without reigniting inflation pressures.

    Hassett was the overwhelming favorite to be the next Fed chair a couple weeks ago. He has now been replaced as the favorite by Kevin Warsh according to Polymarket, but it is close at 45% to 42%.

    For your guide:

    • Section 301 and Section 232 are two US trade-law tools used to impose tariffs, but they serve different purposes and carry different market implications. Section 301 of the Trade Act of 1974 is aimed at addressing unfair foreign trade practices, such as intellectual property theft, forced technology transfers, or discriminatory policies. Under Section 301, the US Trade Representative (USTR) investigates whether another country’s practices are unreasonable or burden US commerce and, if so, can impose targeted tariffs, quotas, or other trade restrictions. These measures are often country-specific and product-specific, and they tend to be used as negotiating leverage in broader trade talks.
    • Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962, by contrast, is grounded in national security concerns. It allows the US Department of Commerce to investigate whether imports of certain goods—such as steel, aluminum, autos, or critical supply-chain items—threaten national security. If a risk is found, the president can impose tariffs or quotas regardless of country, making Section 232 actions broader and more structural. Markets typically view Section 232 tariffs as more persistent and harder to unwind, since they are justified on security grounds rather than trade imbalances.

    For traders and markets, Section 301 tariffs are often seen as tactical and negotiable, while Section 232 tariffs are viewed as strategic and long-lasting. Both can affect inflation, supply chains, corporate margins, currencies, and risk sentiment, but Section 232 actions generally

    This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

  • USDCAD Technicals. Sellers stay in control as price stalls below key moving average

    Fundamental backdrop: mixed US data weighs on the dollar

    The USDCAD moved lower following a heavy US data dump, with the October jobs report showing a decline, followed by a rebound in November, a pattern heavily distorted by the recent government shutdown. At the same time, October retail sales were unchanged at the headline level, but the control group jumped a strong 0.8%, pointing to firmer underlying consumer demand. The initial market reaction saw the USD weaken, dragging USDCAD lower before a modest rebound.

    Technical picture: moving average caps upside

    Despite the bounce higher earlier in the day, the USDCAD price remains below a key resistance level, keeping sellers in control. On the hourly chart, the 100-hour moving average continues to define the topside, and has now repelled price for the fifth time since November 26. Ahead of the jobs report, USDCAD chopped sideways, allowing the moving average to drift lower toward price, but sellers once again leaned against that level.

    The 100-hour MA currently sits at 1.37802 and continues to slope lower. A move above that level is required to give buyers the minimum technical victory needed to trigger a deeper corrective bounce. Absent a break above, the sellers retain control. The current price trades near 1.3748.

    Upside targets: what buyers need

    If buyers can push and hold above the 100-hour moving average, the next upside targets come into view:

    • 1.3799–1.3800: swing lows from December 8

    • 1.3827: falling 200-hour moving average

    • 1.3839: 50% retracement of the rally from the mid-June 2025 low

    Only sustained trade above these levels would shift the broader short-term bias more firmly toward the upside.

    Downside risk: sellers eye key swing support

    On the downside, a break below today’s low at 1.3738 would open the door for a retest of a key swing-area floor between 1.3720 and 1.3726, a zone that dates back to August and September. A move below that area—and staying below it—would increase the risk of renewed downside momentum.

    Watch the video analysis

    In the video above, I (Greg Michalowski, author of Attacking Currency Trends) break down the technical factors driving USDCAD in real time, outlining the bias, the risk-defining levels, and the next upside and downside targets that matter most.

    Be aware. Be prepared.

    This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

  • RedotPay Raises US$107M in Series B to Drive Stablecoin Payments Adoption Globally

    • With over 6 million users across more than 100 countries, RedotPay is disrupting traditional fintech by leveraging blockchain rails to deliver the best product experience to users globally

    • Payment volume nearly tripled year-on-year with more than 3 million new users joining the platform in 2025 through November

    • New investment led by Goodwater Capital, with participation from Pantera Capital, Blockchain Capital, and Circle Ventures, with continued backing from existing investors

    RedotPay, a global stablecoin-based payment fintech, today announced the successful completion of its US$107 million Series B round, bringing the total capital raised in 2025 to US$194 million. This oversubscribed round is a clear signal of investor confidence in RedotPay’s strong growth momentum and its leading market position in stablecoin application. As of November 2025, RedotPay has over 6 million registered users globally in over 100 markets, with over US$10 billion annualized payment volume. RedotPay now generates over US$150 million in annualized revenue and continues to deliver profitable growth through an efficient, scalable business model.

    RedotPay’s Series B brought in new investment led by Goodwater Capital, with participation from Pantera Capital, Blockchain Capital, Circle Ventures and the continued backing from HSG and others. With portfolios across consumer fintech, blockchain infrastructure, and global payments, these investors bring deep expertise aligned with RedotPay’s vision to accelerate financial access globally through the mass adoption of stablecoin-based payments, as well as its mission to make digital finance accessible, secure, and efficient for everyone.

    “Our goal is to help users manage their finances with confidence through stablecoin-powered financial services. With our latest funding, we plan to accelerate product innovation and expand our global reach. Beyond capital, our investors provide the expertise and resources to enable us to scale responsibly while remaining compliance focused and delivering outstanding user experiences.” said Michael Gao, Co-Founder and CEO of RedotPay. “Goodwater invests in platform companies who are reshaping consumer experiences at global scale, and stablecoin has the potential to disrupt global money flow and strengthen financial inclusion,” said Jin Oh, Partner at Goodwater Capital. “RedotPay is improving financial access globally with remarkable traction for its stablecoin-driven solutions across major markets. We’re excited to support the company through its next phase of global growth as it expands stablecoin utility and continues to accelerate adoption and drive innovation across its payment products.”

    RedotPay is building stablecoin-powered financial services that make fund movement instant, predictable, and borderless for both crypto-native and non-crypto users. It empowers global payments with stablecoins through the following:

    • Stablecoin-based Card: Users can spend stablecoins and other digital assets with a secure card globally

    • Global Payouts: RedotPay’s stablecoin-powered payout rails enable fast, secure global transfers

    • Stablecoin Access: RedotPay connects traditional finance and digital assets for users to access, hold, and use stablecoins through its multi-currency accounts* and P2P Marketplace**

    “Pantera backs companies that use blockchain to solve real world problems. RedotPay is bringing stablecoins into everyday payments at a global scale. It offers a glimpse into a future where digital assets form the foundation of faster and more inclusive financial systems.” said Ryan Barney, Partner at Pantera Capital. “We believe RedotPay will play a meaningful role in the next phase of crypto adoption, and we are excited to support a company that is pushing the crypto ecosystem forward.””In many countries, consumers face currency risk, savings erosion due to inflation, and fragile local banking systems. Many would prefer to store value in assets they trust, such as dollars, Bitcoin, or other digital assets, and spend in their local currency. RedotPay seeks to bridge this gap by giving consumers meaningful control over their financial destiny,” said Jonah Burian at Blockchain Capital. “For millions globally, it is becoming a primary financial tool and a top-of-wallet card. RedotPay’s numbers tell the story, and we are excited to back this team.”

    The new capital will fund strategic acquisitions to deepen RedotPay’s product and infrastructure capabilities; secure required licenses and expand its compliance organization to support entry into new markets; and accelerate global hiring to scale its engineering, product, and compliance teams. Looking ahead, RedotPay will continue to expand its geographic coverage, with a focus on key growth regions, and enhance its product offerings to deliver a seamless bridge between crypto and traditional payment ecosystems.

    About RedotPay

    RedotPay www.redotpay.com. is a global stablecoin-based payment fintech that integrates blockchain solutions with traditional banking and finance infrastructures. Our intuitive platform empowers millions around the world to spend and send digital assets, ensuring faster, more accessible and inclusive financial services. RedotPay advances financial inclusion for the unbanked and supports crypto enthusiasts, driving global adoption of secure and flexible stablecoin-powered financial solutions to bring crypto to real life.

    About Goodwater Capital

    Goodwater Capital is the world’s largest consumer tech-focused venture firm, empowering exceptional entrepreneurs everywhere to change the world for good. With a global investment approach, the firm identifies and invests in the most promising consumer technology startups worldwide. Goodwater’s deep industry expertise, extensive network, and data-driven approach allow it to provide unparalleled support to entrepreneurs, guiding them towards becoming market-leading companies.

    About Pantera Capital

    Pantera Capital is the first institutional investment firm focused exclusively on bitcoin, other digital currencies, and companies in the blockchain tech ecosystem. Pantera launched the first cryptocurrency fund in the United States when bitcoin was at $65 /BTC in 2013. The firm subsequently launched the first exclusively-blockchain venture fund. In 2017, Pantera was the first firm to offer an early-stage token fund. Pantera Bitcoin Fund has returned 114,841% in twelve years and has returned billions to its investors. Pantera manages over $5 billion across three strategies – passive, hedge, and venture – exclusively focused on bitcoin, other digital currencies, and companies in the blockchain tech ecosystem.

    About Blockchain Capital

    Based in San Francisco and New York, Blockchain Capital is the first venture capital firm to invest exclusively in the blockchain technology sector. Founded in 2013 by Bart and Brad Stephens, Blockchain Capital has funded over 150 startups and is dedicated to working with founders on the principal mission to build world-class companies based on blockchain technology.

    *RedotPay is a fintech service provider and not a bank. Our Multi-Currency Wallet is provided by appropriately licensed financial institutions and RedotPay only facilitates your use of such Multi-Currency Wallet.

    **P2P crypto trading involves risks like counterparty default and market volatility. We facilitate trades but disclaim all liabilities for losses, disputes, or outcomes. Trade at your own risk, perform due diligence, and comply with laws. Available in selected regions only.

    Disclaimer: This publication is for informational purposes only and does not constitute legal, financial, investment, or other professional advice. It does not represent an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any products, securities, or financial instruments. The information is provided on an “as is” basis as of the date indicated and is subject to change without prior notice. Rabbit7 Holding (BVI) Limited (“RedotPay”) makes no representations or warranties, express or implied, regarding the completeness, accuracy, reliability, or timeliness of the content. RedotPay, along with its directors, officers, agents, employees and affiliates, expressly disclaims any liability for any direct, indirect, special, incidental, consequential, punitive or exemplary damages, arising from the use of or reliance on this publication. Readers should seek independent professional advice before taking any action in relation to the matters concerned herein. This publication is strictly confidential and may not be reproduced, distributed or transmitted in any form or by any means without RedotPay’s prior written consent. The English version shall prevail in the event of any discrepancy or inconsistency between the various language versions hereof.

    This article was written by IL Contributors at investinglive.com.

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