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China’s Trade Balance for May, in Chinese Yuan (CNY) terms, arrived at CNY743.56 billion, expanding from the previous figure of CNY689.99 billion.

China Trade Balance USD came in at $103.22B, above expectations ($101.3B) in May

China Imports (YoY) came in at -3.4% below forecasts (-0.9%) in May

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There will be bank holidays in the likes of Germany, France, and Switzerland in observance of Whit Monday. However, the Xetra and Euronext will all still be open for trading. So, the action doesn’t stop as we get into the second week of June.

The dollar is a touch weaker with risk sentiment looking more tepid for now. But all eyes today will be on US-China trade talks in London. That will be the key risk event to watch out for to start the week.

This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.

• China May CPI -0.1% y/y vs -0.2% expected
• China May trade balance $103.2B vs 101.3B expected
• Japan Q1 GDP revised -0.2% vs -0.7% expected
• Japan April current account +2258.0B vs 2563.9B expected
• New Zealand Q1 manufacturing sales +2.4% vs +1.1% prior
• ECB’s Nagel: I believe that we can now take the time to look at the situation
• BOE’s Greene: The disinflationary process is still ongoing

Markets:

• Gold flat at $3309
• US 10-yaer yields down 1.4 bps to 4.49%
• WTI crude oil down 8 cents to $64.49
• JPY leads, USD lags

Australia was on holiday to start the week and so are large parts of Europe. That didn’t do much to dampen volatility early in the week as a full slate of Asian data kept things interesting. China remained in deflation with a sub-zero CPI and a particularly soft PPI number pointing to more price declines ahead.

Of course, trade continues to dominate and China trade balance numbers showed a sharp drop in US-China trade. Despite that, China posted a huge trade surplus as it continues to dominate global manufacturing. There is optimism coming into the week about a US-China trade truce along with other US deals before the G7 next week. That led to strong gains for Chinese and Japanese stock markets.

The US dollar was soft across the board and I’m inclined to think that was mostly a retracement from Friday’s large post-NFP gains, but I could be convinced the riots in L.A. played at least a part. USD/JPY didn’t fall on the Japanese GDP report but that number has hawkish implications for the BOJ.

Overall it was a fairly lively start to the week and I’m sure that will continue.

This article was written by Adam Button at www.forexlive.com.

U.S. and China struck a preliminary deal in Geneva, Switzerland, last month that led both sides to drop a majority of tariffs.