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Never one to let a bull run go uninterrupted, US President Donald Trump revisited his latest threats of additional trade tariffs on Chinese goods if the two sides aren’t able to make a trade deal.

The GBP/USD remains steady during the North American session after three straight days of gains, as the Greenback recovers on Trump’s softening his rhetoric on China.

AUD/USD appreciates by 0.35% on Monday, trading around 0.6520 at the time of writing. The pair benefits from a mild return in risk appetite, fueled by the prospect of easing trade tensions between Washington and Beijing.

The Euro (EUR) trades under modest pressure against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, as the Greenback holds steady amid hopes of easing trade tensions between Washington and Beijing.

The GBP/USD remains steady during the North American session after three straight days of gains, as the Greenback recovers on Trump’s softening his rhetoric on China. At the time of writing, the pair trades at 1.3425 after hitting a daily high of 1.3442.

Palladium Technical Analysis: Second Attempt After a 14% Collapse in Less Than Two Days

Palladium futures have just recorded one of their sharpest short-term declines in recent memory. After reaching a 50-week high of 1,695 on Thursday, October 16, and a Friday high of 1,692.5, prices plunged to 1,510.5 by the end of that same Friday — a 9.68% intraday drop.

From that Friday high to today’s session low, Palladium has fallen just over 14% in less than a day and a half of futures trading. Such an abrupt decline has left traders asking a difficult question: is this the beginning of a deeper selloff or the setup for a reversal?

Price is currently hovering around the 1,500 round number, a psychological battleground where both buyers and sellers are testing conviction. The speed and magnitude of the drop are unusual for this market, and attention is now focused on whether Palladium can stabilize and build a base above the key levels highlighted by orderFlow Intel.

Before I dive into the order flow persepctive, you can also see the bigger picture from my Palladium Technical Anlaysis Video.

Order Flow Intel Perspective

Our orderFlow Intel analysis, designed to track buyer and seller aggressiveness inside each price range, shows that aggressive selling is finally being absorbed near the lower value area. Despite another wave of red bars, price action has stopped making lower lows, suggesting that sellers are losing effectiveness.

In practical terms, this means that buyers are quietly absorbing supply near the bid, while sellers continue to hit the market without pushing prices materially lower. This type of divergence between delta (net buy/sell volume) and price movement often hints at early accumulation rather than continued liquidation.

Key Technical Picture

• Point of Control (POC): 1,489 — This remains the most important short-term reference, serving as a line in the sand between bulls and bears.

• Value Area Low (VAL): 1,477 — Also the current session low, confirming this area as the first layer of structural support.

• VWAP: 1,501.5 — Price is oscillating just below this volume-weighted mean, located near the psychological round number of 1,500. A sustained close above it would strengthen the bullish recovery case.

• Value Area High (VAH): 1,512 — The next breakout threshold; a move above it could open the path toward 1,520–1,535, where the first upper VWAP deviation sits.

Why the Bias Remains Bullish

Although the broader market is still digesting the steep drop, our orderFlow Intel readings show that buyers have been absorbing the most aggressive sell pressure near 1,477–1,489.
This is visible in the delta and volume relationships, which reveal that sellers are still active, but their actions are being offset by hidden demand from larger participants.

That’s why Palladium now carries a Prediction Score of +7 (Bullish Bias / High Confidence) on our scale of −10 to +10. The score reflects a constructive structure with solid buy absorption, even if short-term volatility remains high.

Key Levels to Watch

Palladium Price Prediction and the Path to the Technical Recovery

While Friday’s collapse shook out many long positions, current data suggests that institutional buyers may be rebuilding exposure near the lower range.
The 1,489–1,477 region is now the battleground that determines whether Palladium stabilizes or resumes its slide.

If prices can sustain above VWAP and later clear 1,512, a technical recovery toward 1,535–1,555 becomes likely.
For now, Palladium holds a bullish bias, but with traders fully aware that this is a second attempt after a failed long last week and that such setups can carry both high reward potential and meaningful risk.

Disclosure:
This analysis is for educational and decision-support purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Futures trading carries significant risk.

For real-time trade ideas and execution plans, follow the investingLive Stocks Telegram channel.

This article was written by Itai Levitan at investinglive.com.

Fixed-asset investment, which includes real estate, unexpectedly contracted 0.5% in the first nine months of the year as investment into infrastructure and manufacturing slowed.

China kept its benchmark lending rates unchanged, in line with expectations, with the one-year loan prime rate at 3%.

USD/CHF falls around 0.7910 on Monday, down 0.30% on the day at the time of writing. The advance in the Swiss Franc (CHF) continues to weigh on USD/CHF despite growing concerns about the slowdown in Switzerland’s economy which limits the currency’s upside.

Summary Box for Ethereum Futures Today and This Week

Bullish above: 3,968
Bearish below: 3,968
Orientation: Swing trade
Bias: Bullish while above 3,968
Partial Profit Targets: 4,130; 4,295; 4,359; 4,422; 4,700; 5,000

Ethereum Market Context and Directional Bias

After Justin from our investingLive.com team reported how Bitcoin slumped to fresh four-month lows in his article Bitcoin slumps to fresh four-month lows as technical trouble continues to brew and even before that, I published a clear guide on how to join the Bitcoin short as bears regained control.

Since then, the crypto market has been rebounding sharply, with both Bitcoin and Ethereum futures showing strong recoveries. Today’s Ethereum technical analysis with tradeCompass focuses on the swing trade perspective — larger moves and broader setups beyond intraday fluctuations — helping traders and investors decide when Ethereum may regain upward momentum or when caution is warranted.

At the time of writing, Ethereum futures (ETH1!) trade near 4,039 USD, holding above today’s VWAP at 4,026 and the 4,020 Point of Control (POC) from Thursday, October 16.

The threshold between bullish and bearish control sits at 3,968.

• Sustained closes above 3,968 indicate that buyers maintain control, keeping the door open for more upside.

• A close below 3,968 flips the map bearish, signaling potential retracement or deeper consolidation.

For Ethereum traders and crypto investors, this threshold acts as a clear line in the sand to assess whether to stay long, reduce exposure, or even hedge.

Ethereum Technical Analysis and Key TradeCompass Levels

Bullish Path (above 3,968):
If the bullish structure remains intact, the following levels act as potential profit-taking or resistance zones on the way up:

• 4,130 – Derived from the September 30 Value Area Low; a first scaling level.

• 4,295 – Next high-volume area where order flow tends to balance.

• 4,359 – Short-term supply zone.

• 4,422 – Upper boundary from a previous value area; a second partial-profit point.

• 4,700 – Psychological round number with strong liquidity potential.

• 5,000 – Longer-term bullish target aligned with Ethereum’s all-time highs.

Bearish Path (below 3,968):
If Ethereum closes and sustains below this pivot, downside levels to monitor include:

• 3,879

• 3,837

• 3,764

These are early bearish targets and reference points for traders who may prefer counter-trend opportunities. Future tradeCompass updates will provide more refined downside projections if price confirms the bearish case.

Educational Corner: VWAP and POC for Ethereum Traders

The VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) represents the average price weighted by traded volume, helping traders understand where most participants have positioned themselves. The Point of Control (POC) marks the single price level with the highest traded volume within the session or volume profile.

When Ethereum futures trade above both VWAP and POC, it usually reflects a buyer-controlled market, as participants are willing to transact at higher prices. When price remains below them, sellers are likely setting the tone.

Ethereum Price Prediction Outlook

From a broader swing perspective, the Ethereum price prediction remains bullish while price holds above 3,968.
If momentum continues and the $4,130 zone breaks with sustained volume, price may aim for the $4,295–$4,359 region as the next liquidity zone.

Beyond that, the $4,700 and $5,000 levels remain potential long-term targets.
However, any confirmed breakdown below 3,968 invalidates the bullish thesis and suggests a new bearish phase could develop.

tradeCompass Risk and Stop Management Principles

TradeCompass methodology emphasizes discipline and consistency:

• Stop placement: Always just beyond your activation side with a small buffer. Never place a stop beyond the opposite threshold.

• Partial profits: Take incremental gains at each target to lock in progress.

• Runner logic: After the second profit target (TP2) is reached, move the stop to entry (breakeven) to protect gains.

This approach helps traders capture larger swings while reducing risk exposure during volatility.

How to Use the Compass for Ethereum Trading

Treat the 3,968 level as your pivot for decision-making:

• If price retests it and fails to sustain above, consider a short setup targeting the first bearish zones.

• If price bounces and holds above, that’s confirmation that bulls remain in control.

Swing traders can use this compass to adjust position size, take partial profits, or hedge based on how Ethereum reacts around this pivotal line.

My Ethereum Price Prediction is Maintained

I continue to believe that Ethereum retains long-term upside potential and that the $5,000 mark remains in sight. While timing is uncertain, the underlying technical structure still favors a continuation higher once consolidation phases resolve.

For now, staying patient above 3,968 with disciplined trade management is the rational play.

Professional Disclaimer

This content is a decision-support tool, not investment advice. Trading involves risk, and you should perform your own due diligence before entering any position.

This article was written by Itai Levitan at investinglive.com.