Fed’s Waller: Based on current data, a 25 bps cut is justified at upcoming meeting
That pretty much seals it, but it was fully priced in anyway.
This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.
That pretty much seals it, but it was fully priced in anyway.
This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.
Crazy amounts of money are being thrown at AI right now, particularly on chips and power.
Analysts at Goldman Sachs have a funny way of saying it’s sustainable. They dismiss concerns, arguing investment levels are sustainable. Why? Because AI deployments are boosting productivity.
That’s a funny way of justifying it a day after Sam Altman announced that OpenAI will allow adult erotica on ChatGPT.
In any case, Goldman argues that AI capex is at roughly 1% of GDP in 2025 and will rise to 2-2.5% in 2027 and 2028. They estimate that generative AI could lift labor productivity by 1.5 percentage points annually as adoption spreads.
I think that’s all a bit fanciful as it’s entirely unclear that the people making the investments are the ones who will capture the ROI from the productivity boosts. Chips also have a very short life, so there could easily be a cash-incinerating time mismatch.
This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.
Fed Governor Christopher Waller told Bloomberg that even without the official employment data, the available evidence points to a clear slowdown in hiring across the U.S. economy. He noted that private and survey-based indicators have been consistent in signaling weaker labor demand, reinforcing the view that the job market is losing momentum. Waller argued that […]
The post Fed’s Waller favors cautious 25bp cuts amid weak hiring, uncertain outlook appeared first on Action Forex.
Fed Governor Stephen Miran said today that he would support a 50bps rate cut at the upcoming policy meeting, arguing that monetary policy remains too restrictive given the heightened risks surrounding U.S.–China trade tensions. Speaking to Fox Business, Miran said that the escalation in trade uncertainty adds downside risks to growth and that the Fed […]
The post Fed’s Miran backs 50bp cut, warns trade war add to downside growth risks appeared first on Action Forex.
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