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Eurozone GDP beats expectation of 0.4% qoq growth, EU up 0.3% qoq

Eurozone GDP expanded by 0.4% qoq in Q1, doubling market expectations of 0.2% and signaling a stronger-than-anticipated start to the year. Across the broader EU, GDP rose by 0.3% qoq. On a year-on-year basis, seasonally adjusted GDP grew 1.2% in the Eurozone and 1.4% in the EU, matching growth rates from the previous quarter. Ireland […]

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Headlines crossing saying the BoJ is likely to slash its GDP forecasts – from 4 days ago

Japanese media had the reports earlier, in brief:

  • Bank of Japan is likely to revise down GDP forecasts
  • May lower both Fiscal Year 25 and FY26 GDP forecasts to below 1%

Nikkei (gated) has more.

The Bank of Japan statement is due today. There is no specific time that the Bank announce. Its reasonable to expect it sometime in the 0230 – 0330 GMT window. The Bank is expected to keep the policy interest rate at 0.5%, analysts mainly citing the unpredictable US trade policy fuelling economic uncertainty domestically and in Japan, and more globally.

Indeed, the US is already looking like its in recession:

This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.

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Japan Jibun Bank PMI Manufacturing April 2025 Final 48.7 (prior 48.4, preliminary 48.5)

Japan Jibun Bank PMI Manufacturing April 2025 Final

From the report:

Commenting on the latest survey results, Annabel Fiddes,
Economics Associate Director at S&P Global Market
Intelligence, said:

  • “Business conditions continued to weaken across Japan’s
    manufacturing industry in April, with firms noting steeper
    falls in both overall new orders and new export sales.
  • “This prompted firms to cut back on their purchasing
    activity and readjust their inventories, while worries over
    the demand outlook weighed on expectations around the
    year-ahead. Business confidence regarding future output
    hit its lowest level since mid-2020, during the initial wave
    of the COVID-19 pandemic, with firms commenting that
    heightened uncertainty around global trade conditions
    and demand had made them more cautious.
  • “Firms are likely to struggle to see a recovery in conditions
    unless there is a noticeable improvement in demand
    both at home and overseas, which requires an improved
    global outlook and greater certainty around future trade
    relationships.”

Bolding is mine. Quite a lot of negatives in there.

The Bank of Japan statement is due today, the Bank is expected to be on hold:

Bank of Japan Governor Ueda’s press conference follows at 0630 GMT

This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.

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Risk Sentiment Sours on US GDP Contraction, Recession Fears Mount

Risk sentiment soured as US session commenced after data showed the economy unexpectedly contracted in the first quarter. Although the decline was heavily influenced by a surge in imports, which mechanically subtract from GDP calculations, the result still serves as a stark reminder that economic momentum was already faltering even before the full impact of […]

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