Fed’s Miran insists Fed has room for more cuts
Federal Reserve (Fed) Board of Governors plant Stephen Miran doubled down on his belief that the Fed has a lot more room to cut its way to neutral interest rates.
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Nasdaq 100 rally stalling as Elliott Wave points to 23270-830
In our previous update about the NASDAQ 100 (NDX), when the index was trading around 24520, we found that, according to the Elliott Wave (EW) Principle, the index is in an impulse (five-wave) move up from the early April lows, targeting 24770-25570 for an interim top. -
Fed’s Jefferson nods to risks on both sides of the Fed’s mandate
Federal Reserve (Fed) Vice President and Board of Governors member Phillip Jefferson acknowledged that ongoing risks to both sides of the Fed’s policy mandates are seeing growing risks. -
Shutdown Fails to Shake Risk Appetite; Dollar Slips, Not Sinks
A week with political paralysis in Washington ended with record highs on Wall Street — a telling sign of how investors are prioritizing Fed policy over fiscal drama. The U.S. government shutdown, now in effect after Congress failed to pass a funding bill, has frozen major data releases and paralyzed parts of the bureaucracy. Yet […]
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook
EUR/USD’s stayed in range above 1.1644 last week and outlook is unchanged. Further fall is in favor as long as 1.1819 resistance holds. Break of 1.1644 and sustained trading below 55 D EMA (now at 1.1675) will indicate medium term topping at 1.1917, on bearish divergence condition in D MACD. Further fall should then be […]
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USD/JPY Weekly Outlook
USD/JPY’s steep decline last week suggests that rebound from 145.47 has completed at 149.95. But as a temporary low was formed at 146.58, initial bias remains neutral this week first. Overall, price actions from 150.90 are still seen as a corrective pattern. Above 148.21 will bring stronger rebound to 149.95 first. Firm break there should […]
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GBP/USD Weekly Outlook
GBP/USD’s recovery from 1.3322 extended higher last week, but failed to break through 1.3535 resistance. Initial bias remains neutral this week and further decline is in favor. Break of 1.3322 will resume the fall from 1.3725 to 1.3140 support. On the upside, though, firm break of 1.3535 will argue that pullback from 1.3725 has already […]
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USD/CHF Weekly Outlook
USD/CHF stayed in range trading below 0.8013 last week and outlook is unchanged. On the upside, sustained trading above 55 D EMA (now at 0.8008) will suggest that rise from 0.7828 is already correcting whole fall from 0.9200. Further rise should the be seen to 0.8170 resistance and possibly above. However, break of 0.7908 will […]
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AUD/USD Weekly Report
AUD/USD’s rebound from 0.6519 extended higher last week but failed to break through 0.6627 resistance decisively. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the upside, break of 0.6627 will target a retest on 0.6706 high. On the upside, firm break of 0.6627 resistance will suggest that pullback from 0.6706 has completed as correction, after […]
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Sunset Market Commentary
Markets US yields currently are changing between +1.5 bps (2-y) and 0.5 bps (30-y). Similar story for the German yield curve (2-y +0.5 bps; 30 y -1 bp). This looks like being the new normal, potentially for some time to come. Admittedly, the US services ISM still to be released after finishing this report, gives […]
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