China pivots from the US to Canada for more oil amid trade war

If Canada is able to play its cards right, there are enormous and highly economic long-life oil assets that can be exploited. It would require pipelines to the west coast but there is an increasing national acceptance for those kinds of projects due to antagonism from the United States.

This is just a headline from a wire for the moment but it highlights how China is aggressively trying to shore up trading relationships, particularly for commodities.

This article was written by Adam Button at www.forexlive.com.

China pivots from the US to Canada for more oil amid trade war Read More »

Powell sees strong possibility that trade progress will move Fed away from goals

  • We will be moving away from goals for the balance of the year, perhaps we can resume next year
  • Tariffs are higher than we expected even in our upside case
  • To the extent it takes longer for tariffs to hit, that risks higher inflation expectations
  • Our role is to make sure this is a one-time increase in prices only
  • CEOs he spoke with yesterday say uncertainty and imports are ‘a huge issue’
  • Notes that covid shortages of chips led to disruption of autos and it contributed to inflation
  • We are still at full employment
  • Tension between goals would be a difficult position for the Fed
  • We could well be in that situation and it will be a very difficult judgement
  • There isn’t a modern experience for how to think about high tariff rates — these are higher that Smoot-Hawley

The stock market is selling off on his comments

This article was written by Adam Button at www.forexlive.com.

Powell sees strong possibility that trade progress will move Fed away from goals Read More »