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The NZD/USD consolidates within the 0.5700-0.5760 for the second straight day, as the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 0.5764 capped the pair’s advance towards the 0.58 figure. At the time of writing, the pair trades at 0.5739, virtually unchanged.
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When the momentum music stopped
The market doesn’t just move — it breathes, it forgets, it hesitates. -
Jim Cramer explains why sky-high expectations can sink even strong stocks
Jim Cramer says strong earnings can’t always lift stocks if expectations are too high, pointing to GE Vernova and Vertiv. -
Tesla reports revenue growth after two down quarters. Why the stock is falling
Tesla has returned to favor on Wall Street after a brutal start to the year. -
United Rentals stock plunges on earnings but the macro indications are good
United Rentals shares are down 7.7% after hours and normally that’s a terrible sign for the real economy but I’d argue against that take today.
Shares have plunged to $925 from $990 at the close at $1008 earlier today. Part of the drop is because some major expectations have been building as shares ripped to $1000 from $525 at the April lows.
With a chart like this, any kind of miss was going to be punished.
The miss in this case was on margins as the company cited an inflationary environment and rising costs. That led to adusted EPS of $11.70 compared to $12.30 expected.
The cost side could be an issue for companies more broadly but it doesn’t appear that demand is waning, which is a good sign. The company beat on revenues ($4.23B vs $4.16B exp) and boosted its full-year forecast to $16.0-16.2 billion from $15.8-$16.1 billion.
The contrasted with a diminished free cash flow forecast at $2.1-2.3 billion vs $2.4-$2.6 billion previously.
The company didn’t offer much in terms of macro hints in the release except this from Matthew Flannery, chief executive officer:
“Looking
ahead, we are encouraged by the growth opportunities our customers see
on the horizon, particularly within large projects and across key
verticals”The conference call is Thursday at 8:30 am ET.
This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.
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Tesla shares drop 5.6% after earnings
Shares of Tesla fell on earnings and have continued lower so far during the conference call. The company warned about “near-term uncertainty” on sales and profits but said there were long-term growth prospects. Revenues topped estimates but earnings missed.
Details:
- EPS 0.50 vs 0.56 expected
- Revenue $28.095B vs $26.70B expected (record quarter)
Note that this was the final quarter of US subsidies and sales were at a record in the US but that will rapidly unwind in Q4 due to pull-forward demand as the $7000 credit disappears.
On the call:
- In the conference call, the CFO said they were seeing headwinds to the energy storage business from tariffs and competition
- CFO: Total tariff impact in Q3 was in excess of $400m
- EMEA delivers up 25% in Q3
- Capex will grow substantially in 2026
- Musk says they will probably unveil Optimus V3 in Q1
- Musk says confident of expanding Tesla’s production
- Musk says expecting to have no safety drivers in large parts of Austin by year end
- Musk says will ‘boost production’ ahead of robotaxis but doesn’t specify timelines
The proper self-driving could be a big tailwind but if that doesn’t happen, the drop off in regulatory credits and subsidies for EVs are going to make it very hard for Tesla to turn a profit in 2026, particularly if the energy storage business is struggling.
This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.
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Trump says sanctions will hopefully make Putin ‘reasonable’
- Says whenever he speaks with Putin they are good conversations but don’t go anywhere
- Says it didn’t feel right to have a meeting with Putin, so he cancelled it
Oil prices rose 3.7% today in their best day since July as the sanctions likely leaked out ahead of time, and then rose further afterwards. WTI was last at $59.38.
Trump separately said the he’s going to stop all payments going to Colombia and that the US may take very serious action against Colombia. That’s notable because Colombia also produces about 750k bpd. I’m assuming that this squeeze on Colombia as the US aims to nudge a regime change away from from Petro. The Presidential election is in May/June but there is a polling blackout now right now.
Also:
- Thinks he will talk with Xi about Russian oil
- Think I’ll make a deal with Xi
- Think I will make a deal on soybeans
- May even make a deal on nuclear
This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.
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EUR/USD steady around 1.1600 as markets wait for US CPI
EUR/USD holds firm near the 1.1600 figure on Wednesday amid a scarce economic docket in both sides of the Atlantic as market participants await a delayed US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, to be released on Friday. -
Meta lays off 600 from ‘bloated’ AI unit as Wang cements leadership
The cuts did not impact employees within TBD Labs, which includes many of the top-tier AI hires brought into Meta this summer, people familiar told CNBC. -
Trump administration sanctions big Russian oil companies, presses for Ukraine ceasefire
The new sanctions are related to plans for a meeting between President Donald Trump and Russian leader Vladimir Putin being dropped.
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