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Forexlive European FX news wrap: Swiss CPI goes negative, Eurozone CPI misses
- Meta to buy nuclear power from Constellation Energy Corp.
- More from BoE’s Bailey: Business surveys are probably better guide to UK outlook
- Zelensky’s insults directed at Russia’s delegation clashed with spirit of negotiations
- US calls on Vietnam to cut reliance on China in list of trade demands – report
- EU reportedly says did not get US letter demanding “best offer” on trade talks
- BoE’s Bailey: Gradual and careful remain my guides for rates
- BoE’s Mann: Voted to hold rates unchanged in May as labour market not loosened as expected
- More from Dhingra: Disinflation process has continued
- BOE’s Breeden: Confident that disinflationary process is progressing at a steady pace
- BoE’s Dhingra: Would have preferred bank rate to have followed a different path
- Eurozone May preliminary CPI +1.9% vs +2.0% y/y expected
- More from BoJ Ueda: See no need now to change our baseline view on Japan’s economy
- There is risk that wage outlook could change significantly due to tariffs impact – Ueda
- BOJ governor Ueda: Uncertainty surrounding domestic, overseas economy is high
- OECD cuts global outlook as Trump tariffs bite at US growth
- Switzerland May CPI -0.1% vs -0.1% y/y expected
- FX option expiries for 3 June 10am New York cut
- Trade uncertainty continues to fill the air in markets
- Reserve Bank of Australia assistant Gov Hunter says Australia’s exporters well placed
- More from Ueda: Japan’s real wages are negative, wage growth may slow then rebound
It was the CPI Day for Switzerland and Europe today. The Swiss CPI went negative matching the consensus view, while the core reading ticked lower to 0.5% vs 0.6% prior. This of course wasn’t enough to change the market pricing which sees 55 bps of easing by year-end with a 34% chance of a 50 bps cut at the upcoming SNB meeting.
The Eurozone CPI missed expectations across the board with the core measure falling to 2.3% vs 2.7% prior and services inflation to 3.2% vs 4.0% prior. This hasn’t changed the market pricing much as the ECB is already widely expected to cut this week by 25 bps and then deliver at least another cut by year-end.
We had also some central bank speakers commenting on their outlook throughout the session but they didn’t offer anything new in terms of forward guidance. BoJ’s Ueda continues to repeat that they will raise rates if their conditions are met with focus on inflation and trade negotiations.
BoE’s speakers, on the other hand, remain confident that the disinflationary trend will continue and that the path for rates is to the downside amid growth risks that according to BoE’s Bailey are not captured by GDP data.
In the American session, the focus switches to the US Job Openings data and a few Fed speakers. The Job Openings data is for April and the consensus sees a drop to 7.100M vs 7.192M prior. That shouldn’t change much for the market given that it’s now old news and we have the more timely Jobless Claims and NFP reports coming up later in the week.
This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at www.forexlive.com.
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Swiss CPI falls to -0.1% yoy, first negative since 2021
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Markets Clearly Struggled to Find a Coherent Directional Storyline
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