News

Follow the latest analyses and key economic, financial, and global market news in this section. Our team reviews the most important market events daily and provides comprehensive insights for traders and enthusiasts.

  • EURUSD moves to new lows and stretches toward the end of August low at 1.15732

    The EURUSD is pressing to fresh lows, breaking beneath a swing area between 1.1581 and 1.1596 and pushing through the 61.8% retracement of the August 1 to recent high rally at 1.1592. That shift gives sellers increasing control of the market. The next downside target is the August 27 low at 1.1573; a break below would open the door toward 1.1555 and potentially accelerate bearish momentum.

    It’s worth noting that the pair fell below its 100-day moving average yesterday, only to rebound and trade around it, flipping between gains and losses both yesterday and again today. Still, today’s high stalled near the bottom of a key swing zone between 1.1645 and 1.1660, underscoring that sellers are defending overhead resistance.

    With downside levels breaking and resistance holding firm earlier today, the technical bias leans further in favor of sellers as long as price remains capped below the 1.15812 and 1.1596 area (close risk).

    Other targets on the downside include a swing area between 1.1555 and 1.1561, followed by another swing area between 1.1518 at 1.15296.

    This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

  • Why the US dollar is climbing and why the Fed should be worried

    The US dollar is at the highs of the day and if you listened to Delta CEO CEO Ed Bastian today, you would know why.

    The way he outlined it, consumers pulled back around Liberation Day but as trade deals started to come, so did the spending. That has continued into Q4 and the company is forecasting a strong 2026.

    What if the Fed is being misdirected by the April-July slump and not realizing that there is some fresh momentum in the consumer, and the economy? They could be cutting at a time when things are heating up. That could lead to a rapid pivot in the Fed stance, and a repricing of the 100 bps of cuts in the Fed funds futures market through this time next year.

    In context, this is a fairly small move in the US dollar but if there is a big rethink, this will be only the beginning.

    This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.

  • Natural Gas Analysis: Order Flow Hints Show Bears are Good

    Natural Gas Futures Analysis Today: Sellers Regain Control Below the 3.40 Resistance

    Natural Gas futures (ticker: NG) reversed sharply today after a strong early rally failed near the 3.40 level, an important zone aligned with yesterday’s VWAP and prior institutional activity. The session delivered a textbook rejection pattern, signaling that short-term sentiment has shifted back in favor of sellers.

    Natural Gas Market Context and Technical Setup

    During the early part of the U.S. session, Natural Gas prices climbed from around 3.32 to 3.39 as buyers drove price above the developing value area high.
    However, the rally lost momentum just as price approached a dense resistance cluster between 3.39 and 3.40 — a zone that combines:

    • Yesterday’s VWAP, a key benchmark where institutional traders often rebalance positions.

    • The upper VWAP standard deviation, showing stretched short-term conditions.

    • Overlapping value area highs from earlier this week, marking prior supply zones.

    Once price reached this area, aggressive selling hit the market, pushing price back below the point of control (POC) at 3.36. This reversal signaled that buyers had lost initiative and that value was shifting lower within the session.

    orderFlow Intel Analysis

    Advanced orderFlow Intel data confirms a decisive intraday transition from bullish enthusiasm to bearish control.
    Early in the day, buyers dominated and lifted price easily, but that strength quickly disappeared as a Delta collapse occurred — meaning buying interest vanished while sellers aggressively hit the bid.

    In practical terms, this shows that buyers stopped defending the market at lower prices, leaving the order book thin and vulnerable to downside acceleration. Sellers then stepped in with conviction, reclaiming control of short-term flow dynamics.

    A brief rebound followed, likely driven by short covering rather than new institutional buying, since trading volume was significantly lighter than during the sell-off phase.

    Price Action and Key Levels

    The most decisive move came as price reached 3.393, just shy of the 3.40 magnet zone. The market sold off sharply, closing back below the POC.
    If weakness continues, the next technical support areas are:

    • 3.342: Today’s VWAP, which may serve as first support.

    • 3.324: The developing value area low.

    A recovery above 3.40 would invalidate the immediate bearish bias and reopen the path toward 3.44, where previous value area highs and VWAP levels align.

    orderFlow Intel Prediction Score

    Score: −6 (Bearish Bias)
    The orderFlow Intel scale runs from −10 to +10, where:

    • −10 = extremely bearish momentum and strong selling imbalance

    • 0 = neutral, indecisive order flow

    • +10 = extremely bullish momentum and strong buying imbalance

    A reading of −6 reflects firm but not extreme seller control, consistent with a reversal from resistance and declining buyer participation. Unless Natural Gas reclaims the 3.40 level with strong volume, the short-term bias remains bearish.

    Natural Gas Trading Outlook

    • Resistance: 3.390–3.400 (VWAP confluence and sell zone)

    • Support: 3.342 (VWAP) and 3.324 (developing value low)

    • Bearish Target Range: 3.298–3.279 if momentum continues lower

    • Invalidation: Sustained close above 3.40 with expanding positive delta and volume

    Summary for Today’s Natural Gas Traders (Day and Swing!)

    Today’s Natural Gas futures analysis highlights a clear sentiment rotation as sellers re-emerged around the 3.40 resistance zone. The rejection pattern, confirmed by orderFlow Intel signals and declining buyer engagement, suggests a possible continuation toward lower value levels.

    While short-term rebounds are possible, the balance of evidence currently favors the bears until price convincingly reclaims the 3.40 handle with renewed buying conviction.

    All this is not any financial advice. You must do your own research and trade at your sole risk only.

    This article was written by Itai Levitan at investinglive.com.

  • Sunset Market Commentary

    Markets Investors on both sides of the Atlantic are facing a deep eco radio silence these days. The Minutes of the September Fed meeting yesterday indicated that a large majority of governors subscribed chair Powell assessement that downside risks to the labour market warranted a scaling back monetary restriction. However, the document showed little guidance […]

    The post Sunset Market Commentary appeared first on Action Forex.

  • NZDUSD Technicals: Corrective resistance holds on the NZDUSD bounce. Seller in control.

    The NZDUSD fell sharply yesterday after the RBNZ delivered a 50-basis point rate cut. While markets had considered that possibility, the size of the cut still sparked a decisive push lower. The move took the pair down to test a lower trendline support on the hourly chart, where buyers emerged to stall the decline. From there, a rebound lifted the pair, retracing roughly half of the initial drop.

    That recovery extended into today’s Asian session, with price action stretching up to a critical resistance zone. The confluence was tight: the 50% retracement of the March–July rally at 0.5802, aligned with both the 100- and 200-hour moving averages near 0.5804. The high print reached 0.5805, before buyers lost momentum and sellers regained control.

    This rejection reinforces the importance of the 0.5802–0.5805 zone as a key bias-defining area. Staying below keeps the advantage with sellers, with immediate downside targets at the September low of 0.5753, followed by yesterday’s trough and the 61.8% retracement of the April–July advance at 0.5727. A break beneath those levels would open the door for accelerated selling momentum.

    This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

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